06/10/26 Afternoon CommStock Report – Time to Take Our Hand Off the Hot Stove?

Part 1 of 2 Better Places to Live El Ninos are measured by temperature/heat. A Super EL Nino, now forecast, would be considerably hotter than a typical El Nino. “A “Super El Niño” is an informal term used by forecasters to describe exceptionally strong El Niño events. While a typical El Niño raises Pacific Ocean temperatures by at least 0.5^C, a super event drives those temperatures to 2^C or more above average, resulting in far more extreme global weather disruptions.” When air temperatures warm, atmospheric rivers enlarge as they can hold more water. The correlation between heat and humidity is exponential rather than linear. Wet areas will get much wetter and dry areas much drier. All associated weather risks grow and intensify accordingly.   Other historically recognized Super El Niños since 1950 occurred in 1972–1973, 1982–1983, 1997–1998 and 2015-2016. That would make this one the 5th Super-El Nino since I began farming in 1973. The problem, conundrum or experiment is that the earths base temperature has risen significantly since 1950 so adding another 2^+C from a Super El-Nino is a really big thing. Global temperatures in 2025 were an average of 2.14 degrees Fahrenheit (1.19 degrees Celsius) above the 1951…