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05/20/2026 Following A Similar Blueprint Morning Market Talk There will not be a Morning Market Talk today Eric is under the weather this morning. On the Grains Grain markets generally weakened overnight amid growing market impatience that China has yet to formally confirm roughly $17 billion in additional U.S. agricultural purchases tied to recent trade discussions with the Trump administration. China’s commerce ministry said the two sides “in principle agreed to include relevant [agricultural] products in the reciprocal tariff reduction framework, while also setting guiding goals to expand two-way trade in agricultural products.” The statement did not say what products could be included or mention the $17 billion commitment. China’s vagueness shouldn’t be a surprise. As was the case during the agreement reached last October, China didn’t confirm actual soybean purchase levels and was much more vague than the United States. That’s likely to be the case this time as well. But the market reaction reflects a familiar pattern in U.S./China agricultural trade relations: Traders often demand immediate public verification from Beijing, while China historically has preferred to move incrementally and quietly through state buyers and commercial channels rather than through highly publicized announcements. That dynamic was evident following the October…

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