09/12/25 What to Expect From USDA

09/12/2025 What to Expect From USDA On the Grains Corn, soybeans and wheat held in tight trading ranges overnight ahead of USDA’s reports later this morning.USDA’s Crop Production and Supply & Demand (WASDE) reports will be released at 11:00 a.m. CT. USDA is widely expected to lower its corn and soybean yields from August, though history says a large reduction isn’t likely. For corn, USDA has lowered yield in September six times during the past 10 years and raised yield the other four times. For soybeans, USDA has cut the yield four times, raised yield five times and left it unchanged once over the past 10 years.As I addressed in my video Tuesday afternoon, the five-year average change in yield from August to September for corn was a 1.1-bu.-per-acre cut, while the 10-year average was a 0.5-bu. reduction. USDA’s largest corn yield reduction in September during that period was 3.3 bu. in 2020 (derecho year), though it also cut yield 2.9 bu. in 2022 and three years saw a 1.3-bu. decline. The biggest increase was 2.9 bu. in 2018, which is a year that had the same good/excellent rating as this year’s crop to start September. For soybeans, the five-year…